FLORENCE
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the centre of Tropical Storm Florence was located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 35.9 West. Florence is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A slightly slower west to west-northwest motion is expected during the next
few days.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the centre.
#1
1. A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is producing a large area of disorganised showers and thunderstorms.
Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves westward across the eastern tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.
# 7
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the disturbance was centred near latitude 24.5 North, longitude 80.2 West. The system is moving toward the
west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and a westward-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the disturbance will pass over the Florida Keys or the southern portion of the Florida peninsula this morning, move over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico later today evening, and reach the central Gulf Coast by late Tuesday or Tuesday night.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the disturbance is forecast to become a tropical storm by tonight.
Conditions appear to be conducive for development, and this system is expected to become a tropical cyclone by tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent