Category: Uncategorized

September 23, 2018

Intermittently cloudy with easing winds.

Small Craft Warning (Valid this morning)

Expect moderate to strong easterlies with decreasing shower activity as we lie between high pressure to the north and low pressure spinning to our south. The low will move away to the southwest thus drawing our winds from the southeast, and slowly weakening. The winds and seas increase again Tuesday along with the threat of showers under a marginally unstable pattern before stabilizing Wednesday and beyond.
High near 28°C/83°F
Humidity 70%  (beautiful)
Winds easterly 15 to 20 knots, gradually easing this afternoon.
Seas inside the reef 2 to 3 ft… Outside the reef 4 to 8 ft, decreasing during the afternoon
Sea Surface Temperature: 29.1°C/84.4°F
High tide: 8:12 a.m.
Sunrise 7:07  Sunset  7:14

September 20, 2018

Mostly cloudy with a few showers, risk of thunder

Thunderstorm Advisory Valid: This morning through Friday night)

Small Craft Warning Valid: Until this evening

An area of low pressure developing along an approaching frontal boundary will continue to strengthen bringing a few showers with a risk of thunder through this evening. The low is expected to move near Bermuda and bring periods of moderate to strong winds with potential gale force gusts. Moderate to strong winds persist into Saturday. Expect fair weather for the weekend.
High near 28°C/83°F.
Humidity 75%
Winds southwesterly 12 to 18 knots, increasing 20 to 25 knots this morning and 20 to 30 knots with potential gusts to 35 knots this afternoon.
Seas inside the reef 2 to 3 ft… Outside the reef 5 to 10 ft, increasing during the morning.
Sea Surface Temperature: 29.1°C/84.4°F
High tide: 5:52 a.m.
Sunrise 7:05  Sunset  7:18

September 19, 2018

Mostly cloudy with a few showers, chance of thunder.

Thunderstorm Advisory Valid: This morning  (some pretty impressive booms out there at the moment)

Small Craft Warning Valid: Until Thursday evening

An area of low pressure in our vicinity will bring a few showers and a chance of thunder today. A cold front now just off the U.S. east coast will approach and a new low will develop along the front to our northeast tonight. This low will move over Bermuda Thursday night with periods of rain or showers, possible thunder and strong winds.
Temperature drop !  High near 29°C/84°F.
Humidity 99% (yep)
Winds west-northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, gusts to 30 knots with showers, backing west-southwesterly this afternoon.
Seas inside the reef 1 to 2 ft… Outside the reef 3 to 5 ft, increasing during the night
Sea Surface Temperature: 29.1°C/84.4°F
High tide: 5:37 p.m.
Sunrise 7:05  Sunset  7:20

September 14, 2018

Passing high clouds, showers & chance thunder develop later.
High pressure to the north maintains fair conditions this morning. However, a low pressure trough encroaches upon Bermuda this afternoon which enhances our chances for showers, and perhaps thunder from this evening into early Saturday. Winds increase moderate to strong on Saturday, then high pressure builds in again on Sunday and Monday, yet the threat of showers remains due to low pressure to our south. Moderate to rough seas abate towards Monday.
High near 29°C/85°F.
Humidity 80%
Winds northerly 8 to 12 knots, veering north-northeasterly this afternoon
Seas inside the reef 1 to 3 ft… Outside the reef 4 to 7 ft, increasing during the morning.
Sea Surface Temperature  – 29°C/84.2°F
High tide: 12:47 p.m.
Sunrise 7:02  Sunset  7:26

September 13, 2018

Fair skies, a light sprinkle possible this morning.
Aside from a morning sprinkle, Thursday will be another clear day with light winds as high pressure noses in from the northeast. A trough of low pressure will be in the area on Friday thus increasing the odds for showers and a chance of thunder later on Friday and into Saturday and bump our winds up to moderate at times through the weekend. Rough seas/swells diminish today, then slightly build again Friday.
High near 30°C/86°F.
Humidity 86%
Winds easterly 5 to 10 knots, gradually backing northeasterly by late afternoon, becoming variable at times
Seas inside the reef 2 to 3 ft… Outside the reef 4 to 8 ft, decreasing during the afternoon.
Sea Surface Temperature  – 29°C/84.2°F
High tide: 12:00 p.m.
Sunrise 7:01  Sunset  7:28

September 10, 2018 – Storm Watch

FLORENCE
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the centre of Hurricane Florence was located near latitude 24.9 North, longitude 58.9 West. Florence is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A west-northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days.  A turn toward the northwest is forecast to occur Wednesday night or Thursday. On the forecast track, the centre of Florence will move over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Bahamas Tuesday and Wednesday, and approach the southeastern coast of the United States on Thursday.
Satellite imagery indicates that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid
strengthening is forecast, and Florence is forecast to become a major hurricane this morning, and is expected to remain an extremely
dangerous major hurricane through Thursday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the centre and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km).
HELENE
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the centre of Hurricane Helene was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 28.9 West. Helene is moving
toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for another couple of days.  A turn to the northwest is forecast to occur on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts.  Helene’s expected to resume strengthening today.  Afterward,
weakening is forecast to commence Wednesday morning.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the centre and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
(150 km).
ISAAC
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the centre of Hurricane Isaac was located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 42.7 West. Isaac is moving
toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h).  A westward motion with a slight increase in forward speed is forecast through the end of the
week.  On the forecast track, Isaac is forecast to move across the Lesser Antilles and into the eastern Caribbean Sea on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is expected over the next day or
two.  Weakening is forecast to begin by the middle of the week as Isaac approaches the Lesser Antilles.
Isaac is a small hurricane.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the centre and tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km).

September 10, 2018

Mainly fair today with light and variable winds.
Expect mainly fair conditions with light and variable winds today. Winds increase moderate tonight and moderate to strong later Tuesday through Wednesday morning. Southeasterly swells will gradually build and may cause dangerous rip currents, particularly on the south shore as Florence passes about 300 nautical miles south of Bermuda.
High near 29°C/85°F
Humidity 92%
Winds variable 5 knots, mainly northeasterly, settling easterly this afternoon
 Seas increasing, inside the reef 1 to 2 ft… Outside the reef 2 to 6 ft…
Sea Surface Temperature: 31°C/87.8°F
High tide: 9:37 a.m.
Sunrise 6:59   Sunset  7:32

September 9, 2018

FLORENCE
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the centre of Tropical Storm Florence was located near latitude 24.5 North, longitude 55.8 West. Florence is
moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today.  A west-northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected by Monday, and that motion is forecast to continue through mid-week.  On the forecast track, the
centre of Florence will move over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Bahamas Tuesday and Wednesday, and approach the southeastern U.S. coast on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts.  Florence is expected to become a hurricane today and rapid
intensification is likely to begin by tonight.  Florence is forecast to become a major hurricane on Monday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the centre.
HELENE
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the centre of Tropical Storm Helene was located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 24.0 West. Helene is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through today.  A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast to occur by Monday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Helene is expected to become a hurricane later today.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the centre.
ISAAC
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the centre of Tropical Storm Isaac was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 38.1 West. Isaac is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h). A westward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next few days.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Isaac is expected to become a hurricane by Monday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the centre.
1. A weak area of low pressure located near Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Significant development of
this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.  This system is expected to move little during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.
2. A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form in the northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles west-southwest of the Azores in a few days.  Some slow tropical or subtropical development is possible by the middle of the week while the low meanders.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.