Author: Heidi

September 5, 2018

Mix of sun and cloud, a couple of passing showers.
 A series of troughs will bring isolated showers through the forecast period. Showers may turn heavier and more persistent at times, most likely to happen tonight when there is a chance of thunderstorms. However, away from the troughs, high pressure will dominate so there will still be plenty of fair weather. Smooth to slight seas will persist with mainly light winds.
High near 31°C/87°F.
Humidity 82%
Winds east-northeasterly 8 to 12 knots, veering easterly this afternoon…  Isolated showers with fair, to at times poor visibility.
Seas inside the reef 1 to 2 ft… Outside the reef 2 to 4 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature: 31°C/87.8°F
High tide: 5:27 p.m.
Sunrise 6:56   Sunset  7:38

Storm Watch September 5, 2018

FLORENCE
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the centre of Hurricane Florence was located near latitude 21.4 North, longitude 44.8 West.  Florence is temporarily moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).  A turn back toward the west-northwest is expected later today, and
this general motion is expected to continue with Florence’s forward speed decreasing by the weekend.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts.  A gradual weakening trend is forecast to begin tonight and
continue through Friday.  After that time, Florence is forecast to restrengthen through the weekend.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the centre and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
(150 km).
1. A broad area of low pressure accompanied by disorganised cloudiness and showers is entered a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Environmental conditions are forecast to become conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by the end of the week while the system moves west- northwestward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.
2. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in a few days.  Some development of the system is possible over the
weekend while the wave moves westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

Storm Watch September 3, 2018

FLORENCE
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the centre of Tropical Storm Florence was located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 35.9 West. Florence is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A slightly slower west to west-northwest motion is expected during the next
few days.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.  Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the centre.
#1
1. A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is producing a large area of disorganised showers and thunderstorms.
Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves westward across the eastern tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.
# 7
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the disturbance was centred near latitude 24.5 North, longitude 80.2 West.  The system is moving toward the
west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and a westward-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected over the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the disturbance will pass over the Florida Keys or the southern portion of the Florida peninsula this morning, move over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico later today evening, and reach the central Gulf Coast by late Tuesday or Tuesday night.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the disturbance is forecast to become a tropical storm by tonight.
Conditions appear to be conducive for development, and this system is expected to become a tropical cyclone by tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent

September 3, 2018

A fair amount of sunshine with light northeasterly winds.
 A series of troughs will bring isolated showers through the forecast period. Showers may turn heavier and more persistent at times, most likely to happen tonight when there is a chance of thunderstorms. However, away from the troughs, high pressure will dominate so there will still be plenty of fair weather. Smooth to slight seas will persist with mainly light winds.
High near 31°C/87°F.
Humidity 79%
Winds northeasterly 5 to 10 knots, tending east-northeasterly at times
Seas inside the reef near 1 ft… Outside the reef 2 to 4 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature: 31.5°C/88.7°F
High tide: 3:14 p.m.
Sunrise 6:55   Sunset  7:41

August 31, 2018

Sunny this morning
 A series of troughs will bring isolated showers through the forecast period. Showers may turn heavier and more persistent at times, most likely to happen tonight when there is a chance of thunderstorms. However, away from the troughs, high pressure will dominate so there will still be plenty of fair weather. Smooth to slight seas will persist with mainly light winds.
High near 30°C/86°F
Humidity 81%
Winds north-northeasterly 5 to 10 knots.
Seas inside the reef calm to 1 ft… Outside the reef 1 to 3 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature has risen – 30.5°C/86.9°F
High tide: 12:34 p.m.
Sunrise 6:53   Sunset  7:45

August 30, 2018

Chance of an early morning shower.
Plumes of tropical moisture (poetic) will bring isolated showers over the next few days. Showers will turn more active at times, with a risk of thunderstorms during the early part of this morning and a chance again tonight and on Friday. However, outside of these plumes of moisture, high pressure will still dominate and so there will still be a quite a bit of sun. Smooth to slight seas through the period.
Ooooh.  Temperature has dropped !  High near 29°C/85°F.
Humidity 76%
LOVE THIS WIND – Winds northerly 5 to 10 knots.
Seas inside the reef calm to 1 ft… Outside the reef 1 to 3 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature has risen – 30.5°C/86.9°F
High tide: 11:57 a.m.
Sunrise 6:52   Sunset  7:46

August 27, 2018

Sun and light winds
The Bermuda-Azores high will continue to extend across the area today which will result in fair conditions. The ridging is expected to continue bringing fair weather conditions through Tuesday. Light to moderate breezes and smooth to slight seas continue today.
High near 30°C/86°F.
Humidity  – 87%
Winds variable 5 knots
Seas inside the reef calm to 1 ft… Outside the reef 1 to 3 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature  – 29.9°C/85.8°F
High tide: 9:21 a.m..
Sunrise 6:50   Sunset  7:50

August 23, 2018

One or two, brief showers possible this morning….   sigh
Troughs bring isolated showers today with a slight chance of thunder this morning. The risk of thunderstorms peaks around dusk today. Further passing trough’s continue the risk of showers and possible thunder over the next few days, especially tomorrow night and Friday morning due to a stalling front to our north. Light to moderate winds, stronger near showers and seas smooth to slight.
Back to 86 – High near 30°C/86°F.
Humidity  – 79%
Covering everything here –  Winds south-southwesterly 8 to 12 knots…  Isolated showers with risk of thunderstorms this morning and poor to fair visibility, reducing to chance of thunderstorms this afternoon with mainly fair visibility
Seas inside the reef calm to 1 ft… Outside the reef 2 to 4 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature  – 30.1°C/86.2°F
High tide: 7:14 a.m..
Sunrise 6:48   Sunset  7:54 (lost two minutes this evening)

 

August 20, 2018

Continued mostly sunny with light winds.
A broad ridge of high pressure that currently extends across Bermuda will continue to persist through Tuesday. No rain in sight. Light to moderate winds will continue tonight with smooth to slight seas.
Stuck on a High near 30°C/86°F
Humidity has climbed – 81%
Winds southwesterly 5 to 10 knots.
Seas inside the reef calm to 1 ft… Outside the reef 2 to 4 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature 31°C/87.8°F (arrrrgh)
High tide: 5:17 p.m.
Sunrise 6:46   Sunset  7:58

August 18, 2018

Mix of sun and cloud with a few morning showers.  Hmmmmm
A weak trough to our north will bring isolated morning showers before weakening in the afternoon. High pressure will build back in on Sunday, making for fair conditions. These fair conditions will continue into Monday as the high pressure ridging lingers. Light to moderate breezes and smooth to slight seas are expected to continue today.
High near 30°C/86°F
Humidity 83%
Winds west-northwesterly 5 to 10 knots, backing westerly through the late afternoon
Calm, calm calm:  Seas inside the reef calm to 1 ft… Outside the reef 2 to 3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature 31°C/87.8°F (arrrrgh)
High tide: 3:13 p.m.
Sunrise 6:44   Sunset  8:00