Month: September 2017

Morning clouds, decreasing winds through the day.

Strong winds this morning will decrease through the day as Tropical Storm Maria exits the region to our far northeast. Some residual cloudiness will be seen this morning, then high pressure will usher in dryer conditions and abating seas into Sunday. Weak surface troughing may kick off a couple of showers on Sunday afternoon and night, then generally fair and breezy conditions follow into next week.

High near 28°C/83°F.
Humidity has dropped !!  – 76%

Mostly cloudy, developing showers, chance thunder.

Hurricane Maria, currently to our distant west-southwest, is tracking north between the US coast and Bermuda. Moderate southeasterly flow draws tropical moisture and isolated to scattered showers along with a chance for thunder to the region throughout the forecast period. Mid-week Maria makes a turn northeast to pass by Bermuda to the North. Rough swells become very rough toward the end of the week.

High near 29°C/84°F.
Humidity – 75%

Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.

Mainly fair, but still a chance of a shower now and then.
Weak high pressure over Bermuda will provide mainly moderate winds this weekend. Hurricane Maria to our distant south-southwest will gradually move northward, passing to our distant west Monday and Tuesday. Expect moderate to strong winds and a few showers Monday and Tuesday, and a chance of thunder Wednesday.

High near 29°C/84°F.
Humidity – 84%

Winds southerly 10 to 15 knots, backing south-southeasterly by this afternoon

Seas inside the reef near 2 ft… Outside the reef 5 to 8 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature: 28.4°C/83.1°F
High Tide: 11:23 a.m.

Sunrise: 7:07 Sunset: 7:14

Gentle breezes and scattered showers today.
A weak ridge of high pressure extends west over Bermuda while post tropical cyclone Jose lingers to our distant north-northwest. Hurricane Maria to our distant south-southwest will gradually move northward, passing to our distant west Monday and Tuesday. Expect mainly fair weather with a few showers interspersed over the next few days. Light to moderate winds slowly increase to strong by Monday. Slight to moderate seas build rough to very rough from Sunday morning.

High near 29°C/84°F
Humidity – 81%

Light winds with 1 or 2 showers.
A band of showers will remain stalled to the east today, possibly sending a couple of showers back into the area. Tropical moisture increases on Friday and maintains isolated showers through Saturday. Moderate winds arrive on Saturday and are expected to increase slightly on. Moderate to occasionally rough swells persist.

High near 28°C/83°F.     Humidity – 86%

Winds west-southwesterly 8 to 12 knots.

Winds becoming strong with occasional passing showers.
Hurricane Jose drifts northwards to our distant west, giving moderate to strong southeasterly winds until easing moderate southerly late Tuesday. An active band of showers trailing northeast over Bermuda today is responsible for generally scattered showers and a risk of thunder until late Wednesday, then gradually improving. Expect rough seas until late Wednesday.

Remaining cloudy and breezy, isolated showers possible.
Hurricane Jose to our distant west-southwest is moving northward and remains a potential threat to Bermuda. Isolated showers will become widespread Monday through Tuesday with a risk of thunderstorms as well. Moderate winds become moderate to strong later today and strong Tuesday. Expect moderate to rough seas into Wednesday morning.

High near 29°C/84°F.
Humidity – 73%

Winds southeasterly 12 to 18 knots, increasing 15 to 20 knots by evening.

It’s a decent day to get out there… just settle on the North. Or hunker down on the south and watch the rising surf. Either way, at least we have a breeze !

Remaining breezy and fair today.
Tropical Storm Jose to our distant south-southwest has begun to move northwestward. Jose is expected to become a hurricane again by this evening, then turn northward tomorrow. Moderate winds will persist into Sunday, becoming moderate to strong by Sunday evening. Moderate seas occasionally build to rough today with southerly swells.

High near 29°C/85°F.
Humidity – 80%

Winds southeasterly 12 to 18 knots

Building southerly swells… Seas inside the reef 1 to 3 ft… Outside the reef 5 to 9 ft, decreasing during the evening.
Sea Surface Temperature: 29°C/84.2°F
High Tide: 5:20 p.m.

Sunrise: 7:02 Sunset: 7:25

STORM WATCH

At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jose was located near latitude 25.9 North, longitude 68.7 West. Jose is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A gradual turn toward the north is expected later today and on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Jose is forecast to become a hurricane later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the centre.
Closest point of approach to Bermuda within 72 hrs (3 days) is forecast to be 384 nm to the W, 6 am Mon, Sep 18, 2017. However, this system may move closer to Bermuda after this time period

1. A tropical wave located about 1200 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganised showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the progress of this system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.

At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the centre of Tropical Depression Fourteen was located near latitude 10.6 North, longitude 27.3 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is forecast to become a Tropical Storm later today or tomorrow.